Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CARed Deer
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Red Deer weather

Loading live data…

Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Red Deer's high today between 20° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 1% chance of rain.

21°
22°
25°
27°
19°
23°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 1%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Red Deer weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Red Deer swings 38°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -14°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 494 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 25 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 190 frost nights, and rain on 102 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
June
494 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
101,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
25 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
190 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
102 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Red Deer’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Red Deer and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Red Deer hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Red Deer 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
21°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22°
models agree
Sun
Clear
25°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
27°
±2°
Tue
Mostly clear
19°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
23°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
14°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
13°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
17°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
10°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
10°
±7°

Red Deer, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 494 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Red Deer right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Red Deer climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-14°
Feb
-2°
-13°
Mar
-1°
-13°
Apr
10°
-2°
May
18°
Jun
20°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
11°
Sep
19°
Oct
11°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-1°
-9°

Which forecast is most accurate in Red Deer?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C93±3.7 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C95±2.5 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 23°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±3°23° to 26°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°26° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±6°16° to 21°±9%0% to 9% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Red Deer

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Red Deer today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Red Deer today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Red Deer today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Red Deer and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Red Deer?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Red Deer (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Red Deer?
July is typically the warmest month in Red Deer, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Red Deer get?
The coldest month in Red Deer is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Red Deer get?
Red Deer sees roughly 494 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather