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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Rouyn-Noranda weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Rouyn-Noranda today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 11°, with a 76% chance of rain.

15°
11°
11°
14°
17°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Rouyn-Noranda weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rouyn-Noranda swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 998 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 31 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 182 frost nights, and rain on 149 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
April
998 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
24,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
31 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
182 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
149 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rouyn-Noranda’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Rouyn-Noranda and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rouyn-Noranda hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rouyn-Noranda 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Tue
Clear
14°
models agree
Wed
Clear
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Clear
19°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20°
±2°
Sun
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±5°
Wed
Light rain
14°
±8°
Thu
Light rain
12°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
11°
±10°

Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 998 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Rouyn-Noranda right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Rouyn-Noranda climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
-15°
Feb
-5°
-15°
Mar
-1°
-11°
Apr
-3°
May
17°
Jun
23°
12°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
11°
Nov
-4°
Dec
-4°
-11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rouyn-Noranda?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.8 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C97±1.4 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C96±1.9 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±3°10° to 12°±42%34% to 76% chance
Mon±2°10° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree17° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rouyn-Noranda

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rouyn-Noranda today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Rouyn-Noranda today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rouyn-Noranda today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Rouyn-Noranda and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rouyn-Noranda?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rouyn-Noranda (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rouyn-Noranda?
July is typically the warmest month in Rouyn-Noranda, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Rouyn-Noranda get?
The coldest month in Rouyn-Noranda is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Rouyn-Noranda get?
Rouyn-Noranda sees roughly 998 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather