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CheckWeather CARoyal Oak
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Royal Oak weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Royal Oak today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 1% chance of rain.

19°
20°
22°
24°
21°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Clear
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Clear
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Royal Oak weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Royal Oak swings 37°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -12°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 501 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-12°C average low
Wettest month
June
501 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Royal Oak and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Royal Oak hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Royal Oak 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Sun
Clear
22°
models agree
Mon
Clear
24°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
21°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
11°
±5°
Sun
Clear
15°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
12°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10°
±8°

Royal Oak, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 501 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Royal Oak right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Royal Oak climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-12°
Feb
-11°
Mar
-12°
Apr
-3°
May
18°
Jun
20°
Jul
25°
11°
Aug
23°
10°
Sep
19°
Oct
11°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Royal Oak?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±1.8 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±2.8 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C88±6.1 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±1°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°23° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±12%2% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Royal Oak

today, local time
Sunrise
07:17
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Royal Oak today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Royal Oak today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Royal Oak today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Royal Oak and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Royal Oak?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Royal Oak (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Royal Oak?
July is typically the warmest month in Royal Oak, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Royal Oak get?
The coldest month in Royal Oak is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Royal Oak get?
Royal Oak sees roughly 501 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather