Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CASt. Marys
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

St. Marys weather

Loading live data…

Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in St. Marys today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 83% chance of rain.

18°12°
20°12°
16°
17°
16°10°
15°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Drizzle
Today 19°·Low 11°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 13°·Rain 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 22%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

St. Marys weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

St. Marys swings 30°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -5°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1040 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-5°C average low
Wettest month
July
1040 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
7,386
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around St. Marys and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

St. Marys hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

St. Marys 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15° 10°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
19°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
21°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±6°

St. Marys, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -5°C), with roughly 1040 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for St. Marys right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

St. Marys climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-5°
Mar
-3°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in St. Marys?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C94±2.8 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±53%19% to 72% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 20°±45%38% to 83% chance
Mon±2°15° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±3°15° to 18°±4%6% to 10% chance
Wedmodels agree16° to 16°±10%19% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in St. Marys

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:27
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in St. Marys today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for St. Marys today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in St. Marys today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for St. Marys and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for St. Marys?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for St. Marys (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in St. Marys?
July is typically the warmest month in St. Marys, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does St. Marys get?
The coldest month in St. Marys is January, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does St. Marys get?
St. Marys sees roughly 1040 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather