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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Taylor-Massey weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Taylor-Massey's high today between 16° and 19°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 53% chance of rain.

18°12°
20°14°
16°11°
16°11°
16°13°
16°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 12°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 2%
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Taylor-Massey weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Taylor-Massey swings 29°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -4°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 971 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 41 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 113 frost nights, and rain on 128 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-4°C average low
Wettest month
April
971 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
41 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
113 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
128 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Taylor-Massey’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Taylor-Massey and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Taylor-Massey hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Taylor-Massey 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16° 14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 12°
±4°
Sat
Clear
19° 12°
±3°
Sun
Clear
20° 13°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 13°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 12°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree

Taylor-Massey, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 971 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Taylor-Massey right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Taylor-Massey climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-1°
Apr
11°
May
17°
Jun
22°
15°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
24°
17°
Sep
21°
15°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Taylor-Massey?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C95±2.7 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C95±2.7 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
72
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C93±3.7 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°16° to 19°±12%2% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±18%35% to 53% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±9%2% to 11% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±19%10% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Taylor-Massey

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Taylor-Massey today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Taylor-Massey today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Taylor-Massey today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Taylor-Massey and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Taylor-Massey?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Taylor-Massey (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Taylor-Massey?
July is typically the warmest month in Taylor-Massey, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Taylor-Massey get?
The coldest month in Taylor-Massey is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Taylor-Massey get?
Taylor-Massey sees roughly 971 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather