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CheckWeather CAVictoriaville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Victoriaville weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Victoriaville today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 15°, with a 82% chance of rain.

15°
15°
13°
15°
18°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Clear
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Partly cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Victoriaville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Victoriaville swings 38°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -12°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1325 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 46 days a year at 25°C or above, 5 of them at 30°C or above, 153 frost nights, and rain on 161 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-12°C average low
Wettest month
July
1325 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
34,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
46 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
153 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
161 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Victoriaville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Victoriaville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Victoriaville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Victoriaville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Sun
Clear
19°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 12°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
21° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
17° 11°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
13°
±5°

Victoriaville, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1325 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Victoriaville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Victoriaville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-11°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-2°
Dec
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in Victoriaville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
68±1.8°C95±2.6 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±2.2 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°13° to 17°±30%52% to 82% chance
Monmodels agree13° to 14°±10%6% to 16% chance
Tue±1°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree18° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Victoriaville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
18:51
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Victoriaville today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Victoriaville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Victoriaville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Victoriaville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Victoriaville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Victoriaville (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Victoriaville?
July is typically the warmest month in Victoriaville, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Victoriaville get?
The coldest month in Victoriaville is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Victoriaville get?
Victoriaville sees roughly 1325 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather