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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Athelstone weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Athelstone today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 55% chance of rain.

24°11°
23°13°
15°
20°
24°
28°17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Clear
Today 25°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Athelstone weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Athelstone swings 22°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 743 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
743 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, August and September
Residents
8,992
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Athelstone and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Athelstone hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Athelstone 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
24° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
28° 17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
30° 19°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
30° 20°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
29° 19°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
25° 14°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
16° 10°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±9°
Thu
Clear
21° 11°
±10°
Fri
Clear
24° 14°
±9°

Athelstone, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 743 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Athelstone right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Athelstone climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
29°
16°
Mar
27°
15°
Apr
20°
11°
May
18°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
17°
Sep
19°
Oct
21°
10°
Nov
25°
13°
Dec
26°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Athelstone?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±2.1 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°24° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree23° to 23°±50%5% to 55% chance
Monmodels agree15° to 15°±58%3% to 61% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°24° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Athelstone

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Athelstone today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Athelstone today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Athelstone today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Athelstone and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Athelstone?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Athelstone (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Athelstone?
January is typically the warmest month in Athelstone, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Athelstone get?
The coldest month in Athelstone is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Athelstone get?
Athelstone sees roughly 743 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather