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CheckWeather AUHope Valley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Hope Valley weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Hope Valley today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 55% chance of rain.

24°10°
23°13°
15°
19°
24°
28°16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Clear
Today 25°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
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Hope Valley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hope Valley swings 21°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 743 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
743 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and August
Residents
8,223
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hope Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hope Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hope Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
24° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
28° 16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
30° 19°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
30° 20°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
29° 19°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
25° 14°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
15° 10°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±9°
Thu
Clear
21° 10°
±10°
Fri
Clear
23° 14°
±9°

Hope Valley, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 743 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hope Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Hope Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
15°
Feb
28°
15°
Mar
26°
15°
Apr
19°
10°
May
17°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
21°
10°
Nov
24°
12°
Dec
26°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hope Valley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.5 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.1 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree22° to 23°±50%5% to 55% chance
Monmodels agree15° to 15°±58%3% to 61% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°23° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hope Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hope Valley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hope Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hope Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hope Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hope Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hope Valley (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hope Valley?
January is typically the warmest month in Hope Valley, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Hope Valley get?
The coldest month in Hope Valley is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Hope Valley get?
Hope Valley sees roughly 743 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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