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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Colac weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Colac's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 24°, with a 42% chance of rain.

23°11°
24°10°
13°
14°
19°
21°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Colac weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Colac swings 19°C across the year, from 25°C highs in January to 6°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 615 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
25°C average high
Coldest month
June
6°C average low
Wettest month
December
615 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Colac and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Colac hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Colac 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
24° 10°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
25° 13°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
23° 13°
±7°
Sun
Partly cloudy
25° 12°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°

Colac, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 615 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Colac right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Colac climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
13°
Feb
25°
12°
Mar
22°
12°
Apr
17°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
16°
Oct
18°
Nov
21°
10°
Dec
22°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Colac?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C95±2.5 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C85±7.3 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±25%0% to 25% chance
Tomorrow±4°21° to 25°±31%11% to 42% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±33%18% to 51% chance
Tue±2°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Colac

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Colac today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Colac today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Colac today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Colac and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Colac?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Colac (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Colac?
January is typically the warmest month in Colac, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Colac get?
The coldest month in Colac is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Colac get?
Colac sees roughly 615 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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