Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUGrovedale
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Grovedale weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Grovedale's high today between 23° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 26°, with a 13% chance of rain.

24°13°
26°13°
14°
14°
19°
25°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 35%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Grovedale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Grovedale swings 18°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 7°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 578 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
December
578 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
15,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Grovedale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Grovedale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Grovedale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
26° 13°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
27° 15°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
23° 13°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
26° 13°
±10°
Mon
Light rain
26° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
18° 10°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±4°

Grovedale, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 578 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Grovedale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Grovedale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
23°
13°
Apr
18°
10°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
23°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Grovedale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.5 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C96±2.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 25°±35%0% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±3°24° to 27°±12%1% to 13% chance
Mon±2°14° to 15°±22%13% to 35% chance
Tuemodels agree14° to 14°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grovedale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:17
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grovedale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Grovedale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Grovedale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Grovedale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grovedale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Grovedale (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Grovedale?
February is typically the warmest month in Grovedale, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Grovedale get?
The coldest month in Grovedale is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Grovedale get?
Grovedale sees roughly 578 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather