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CheckWeather AUGeelong
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Geelong weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Geelong's high today between 23° and 26°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 26°, with a 13% chance of rain.

24°14°
26°13°
14°
15°
19°
25°10°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 35%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
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Geelong weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Geelong swings 18°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 7°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 545 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
December
545 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
283,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Geelong and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Geelong hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Geelong 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 14°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
27° 15°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
24° 13°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
25° 13°
±9°
Mon
Light rain
26° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
18° 10°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±4°

Geelong, Victoria. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Geelong right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Geelong's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Geelong weather by month

what to expect in Geelong through the year

Here is Geelong's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Geelong by season.

Jan
24°
15°
Warm
Feb
25°
14°
Warm
Mar
24°
13°
Warm
Apr
19°
10°
Mild
May
16°
Mild
Jun
14°
Cool
Jul
14°
Cool
Aug
16°
Mild
Sep
18°
Mild
Oct
19°
Mild
Nov
22°
12°
Warm
Dec
24°
13°
Warm
Wettest

What Geelong's weather is like through the year

Geelong runs from warm summers, with February highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Geelong sees roughly 545 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Geelong

The most comfortable time to visit Geelong is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Geelong?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
90
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C96±2.0 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
89
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±2.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Geelong, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 90. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°23° to 26°±35%0% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±4°24° to 28°±12%1% to 13% chance
Mon±2°14° to 15°±22%13% to 35% chance
Tue±2°14° to 15°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Geelong

today, local time
Sunrise
06:17
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Geelong today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Geelong today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Geelong today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Geelong and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Geelong?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Geelong (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Geelong?
February is typically the warmest month in Geelong, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Geelong get?
The coldest month in Geelong is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Geelong get?
Geelong sees roughly 545 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Geelong?
The most comfortable time to visit Geelong is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Geelong?
Rarely - Geelong very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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