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CheckWeather AUMount Martha
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mount Martha (Mt Martha) weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mount Martha's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 24°, with a 32% chance of rain.

22°14°
24°15°
15°
15°
19°
24°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mount Martha and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mount Martha hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mount Martha 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
24° 15°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
24° 10°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
26° 16°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 14°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 12°
±7°

Mount Martha is a small town of about 20,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 38.3°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Mount Martha with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Mornington, Dromana, Mount Eliza.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mount Martha?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
82
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C93±3.6 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C92±4.2 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±4°22° to 26°±26%6% to 32% chance
Mon±2°14° to 15°±51%33% to 84% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mount Martha

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mount Martha today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mount Martha today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mount Martha today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mount Martha and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mount Martha?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Mount Martha (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather