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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Elora weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Elora's high today between 17° and 19°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 49% chance of rain.

18°
19°11°
15°
16°
15°
15°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 24%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 11%
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Elora weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Elora swings 32°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 988 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
April
988 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
7,800
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Elora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elora hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elora 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
15° 10°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
19°
±3°
Sat
Mostly clear
20°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
21°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±6°

Elora, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 988 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Elora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Elora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
Feb
-7°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elora?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C92±4.1 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±2.2 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 19°±13%11% to 24% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±6%43% to 49% chance
Mon±3°14° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±8%2% to 10% chance
Wed±3°13° to 16°±17%16% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elora

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elora today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Elora today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elora today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Elora and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elora?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elora (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elora?
July is typically the warmest month in Elora, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Elora get?
The coldest month in Elora is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Elora get?
Elora sees roughly 988 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather