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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kincardine weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Kincardine today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 41% chance of rain.

20°
19°13°
16°10°
18°
17°
18°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 10%
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Kincardine weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kincardine swings 27°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -4°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1173 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-4°C average low
Wettest month
April
1173 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
6,725
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kincardine and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kincardine hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kincardine 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 13°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
16° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
±3°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
21° 10°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 11°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
18° 13°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
15° 10°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±8°

Kincardine, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1173 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kincardine right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kincardine climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-2°
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
21°
14°
Jul
23°
17°
Aug
22°
16°
Sep
21°
15°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kincardine?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C94±2.8 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C91±4.6 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.7 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°19° to 21°±15%0% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 21°±6%35% to 41% chance
Mon±3°15° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±4°15° to 19°±4%12% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kincardine

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kincardine today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Kincardine today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kincardine today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Kincardine and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kincardine?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kincardine (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kincardine?
July is typically the warmest month in Kincardine, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Kincardine get?
The coldest month in Kincardine is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Kincardine get?
Kincardine sees roughly 1173 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather