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CheckWeather CAGoderich
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Goderich weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Goderich's high today between 18° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 59% chance of rain.

19°11°
20°12°
17°
18°
17°11°
17°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 10°·Rain 15%
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Goderich weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Goderich swings 28°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -4°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1123 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-4°C average low
Wettest month
July
1123 mm a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and March
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
7,628
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Goderich and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Goderich hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Goderich 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 11°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
19°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17° 13°
±2°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
15° 10°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±9°

Goderich, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1123 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Goderich right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Goderich climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-2°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
22°
15°
Jul
24°
18°
Aug
23°
17°
Sep
22°
15°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Goderich?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
79±1.2°C93±3.4 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
78
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C91±4.5 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C94±2.8 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°18° to 20°±38%10% to 48% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 21°±21%38% to 59% chance
Mon±4°15° to 19°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±2%4% to 6% chance
Wed±3°15° to 18°±5%15% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Goderich

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Goderich today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Goderich today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Goderich today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Goderich and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Goderich?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Goderich (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the European at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Goderich?
July is typically the warmest month in Goderich, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Goderich get?
The coldest month in Goderich is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Goderich get?
Goderich sees roughly 1123 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather