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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Paris weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Paris's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 20°, with a 83% chance of rain.

19°11°
20°12°
16°10°
16°10°
15°10°
16°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 12°·Rain 53%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 11°·Rain 21%
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Paris weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Paris swings 32°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -5°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1013 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
January
-5°C average low
Wettest month
July
1013 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Paris and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Paris hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Paris 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 10°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
20°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±5°

Paris, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -5°C), with roughly 1013 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Paris right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Paris climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-5°
Mar
-3°
Apr
14°
May
21°
Jun
25°
14°
Jul
27°
16°
Aug
25°
15°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Paris?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C94±3.1 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C96±2.2 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 20°±32%21% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±31%52% to 83% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±3°15° to 17°±4%6% to 10% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±8%22% to 30% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paris

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paris today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Paris today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paris today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Paris and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paris?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paris (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paris?
July is typically the warmest month in Paris, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Paris get?
The coldest month in Paris is January, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Paris get?
Paris sees roughly 1013 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather