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CheckWeather CAStoney Creek
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Stoney Creek weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Stoney Creek's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 19°, with a 76% chance of rain.

19°14°
19°14°
16°13°
17°14°
16°12°
16°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 14°·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 16°·Rain 45%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 13°·Rain 17%
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Stoney Creek weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Stoney Creek swings 32°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -5°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 962 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 70 days a year at 25°C or above, 13 of them at 30°C or above, 119 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-5°C average low
Wettest month
April
962 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
76,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
70 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
119 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
129 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Stoney Creek’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Stoney Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stoney Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stoney Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 14°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
16° 13°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16° 12°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
±6°
Sat
Clear
19° 11°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
21° 11°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 12°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±3°

Stoney Creek, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -5°C), with roughly 962 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Stoney Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Stoney Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-5°
Mar
-2°
Apr
13°
May
19°
Jun
24°
15°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
25°
17°
Sep
22°
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Stoney Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #2
62±2.1°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C96±2.1 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 20°±28%17% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±22%54% to 76% chance
Mon±3°14° to 17°±13%1% to 14% chance
Tue±3°15° to 18°±20%5% to 25% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±11%18% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stoney Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stoney Creek today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Stoney Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stoney Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Stoney Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stoney Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stoney Creek (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stoney Creek?
July is typically the warmest month in Stoney Creek, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Stoney Creek get?
The coldest month in Stoney Creek is February, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Stoney Creek get?
Stoney Creek sees roughly 962 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather