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CheckWeather CAStrathroy
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Strathroy weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Strathroy's high today between 18° and 20°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 21°, with a 88% chance of rain.

19°13°
21°12°
18°10°
19°10°
16°11°
17°11°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Drizzle
Today 18°·Low 13°·Rain 57%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light rain
Today 18°·Low 14°·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 13°·Rain 31%
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Strathroy weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Strathroy swings 31°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -4°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1066 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 76 days a year at 25°C or above, 12 of them at 30°C or above, 122 frost nights, and rain on 144 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
January
-4°C average low
Wettest month
July
1066 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
24,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
76 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
122 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
144 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Strathroy’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Strathroy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Strathroy hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Strathroy 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
19° 13°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light rain
21° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 10°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
20°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
22°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 10°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 13°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
15° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±6°

Strathroy, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1066 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Strathroy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Strathroy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-2°
Apr
15°
May
21°
Jun
25°
15°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Strathroy?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C92±4.0 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C95±2.6 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±59%31% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°±35%53% to 88% chance
Mon±4°16° to 19°±8%1% to 9% chance
Tue±4°17° to 21°±3%11% to 14% chance
Wed±4°13° to 18°±3%26% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Strathroy

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Strathroy today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Strathroy today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Strathroy today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Strathroy and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Strathroy?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Strathroy (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Strathroy?
July is typically the warmest month in Strathroy, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Strathroy get?
The coldest month in Strathroy is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Strathroy get?
Strathroy sees roughly 1066 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather