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CheckWeather CALambton Shores
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Lambton Shores weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Lambton Shores today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 88% chance of rain.

18°13°
20°13°
18°10°
19°
16°11°
17°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Light rain
Today 19°·Low 12°·Rain 57%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Rain
Today 17°·Low 14°·Rain 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain 27%
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Lambton Shores weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lambton Shores swings 28°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -3°C lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1031 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-3°C average low
Wettest month
April
1031 mm a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and March
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Lambton Shores and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lambton Shores hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lambton Shores 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
18° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
21°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 10°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 13°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
16° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±8°

Lambton Shores, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -3°C), with roughly 1031 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Lambton Shores right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Lambton Shores climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-3°
Mar
-1°
Apr
13°
May
18°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
23°
17°
Sep
22°
15°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Lambton Shores?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C92±4.2 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C89±5.3 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C94±2.9 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±69%27% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 20°±36%52% to 88% chance
Mon±3°16° to 20°±8%1% to 9% chance
Tue±4°17° to 21°±2%10% to 12% chance
Wed±2°15° to 18°±4%27% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lambton Shores

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lambton Shores today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Lambton Shores today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lambton Shores today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Lambton Shores and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lambton Shores?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lambton Shores (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lambton Shores?
July is typically the warmest month in Lambton Shores, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Lambton Shores get?
The coldest month in Lambton Shores is January, when overnight lows average about -3°C.
How much rain does Lambton Shores get?
Lambton Shores sees roughly 1031 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather