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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Napier weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 20° in Napier today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 15°, with a 94% chance of rain.

20°
15°
17°
21°
11°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Fog
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 8%
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Napier weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Napier swings 17°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 6°C lows in August, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1134 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
6°C average low
Wettest month
January
1134 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
66,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Napier and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Napier hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Napier 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
17°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
21°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
20°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Tue
Partly cloudy
17°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
20°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
19°
±8°

Napier, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Napier right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Napier's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Napier weather by month

what to expect in Napier through the year

Here is Napier's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Napier by season.

Jan
22°
16°
Warm
Wettest
Feb
23°
16°
Warm
Mar
21°
13°
Mild
Apr
20°
12°
Mild
May
17°
10°
Mild
Jun
15°
Mild
Jul
14°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
17°
Mild
Oct
19°
10°
Mild
Nov
20°
12°
Mild
Dec
23°
15°
Warm

What Napier's weather is like through the year

Napier runs from warm summers, with February highs near 23°C, to cold winters, when August lows sit around 6°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Napier sees roughly 1134 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Napier

The most comfortable time to visit Napier is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Napier?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C90±5.0 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C82±9.0 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Napier, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 84. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±69%25% to 94% chance
Mon±4°15° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°20° to 22°±50%35% to 85% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±57%33% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Napier

today, local time
Sunrise
06:08
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Napier today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Napier today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Napier today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Napier and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Napier?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Napier (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Napier?
February is typically the warmest month in Napier, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Napier get?
The coldest month in Napier is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Napier get?
Napier sees roughly 1134 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Napier?
The most comfortable time to visit Napier is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Napier?
Rarely - Napier very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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