Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Ngaio weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Ngaio today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 86% chance of rain.

14°
13°
14°
13°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Fog
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 5%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Ngaio weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ngaio swings 14°C across the year, from 21°C highs in January to 7°C lows in August, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1003 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
21°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
April
1003 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
5,660
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ngaio and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Ngaio hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Ngaio 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Rain
13°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
models agree
Thu
Clear
13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
10°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
15° 11°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
15° 10°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
13°
models agree

Ngaio, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1003 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ngaio right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Ngaio climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
21°
15°
Feb
20°
15°
Mar
18°
13°
Apr
17°
12°
May
15°
10°
Jun
13°
Jul
12°
Aug
12°
Sep
14°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
16°
11°
Dec
18°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ngaio?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±2.2 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C89±5.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C91±4.6 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±49%0% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±16%70% to 86% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±37%61% to 98% chance
Wed±1°9° to 10°±42%30% to 72% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ngaio

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ngaio today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Ngaio today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ngaio today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Ngaio and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ngaio?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ngaio (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ngaio?
January is typically the warmest month in Ngaio, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Ngaio get?
The coldest month in Ngaio is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Ngaio get?
Ngaio sees roughly 1003 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More NZ weather