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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Palmerston North (Palmy) weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Palmerston North today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 94% chance of rain.

15°
14°
14°
15°
11°
12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 75%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 45%
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Palmerston North weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Palmerston North swings 17°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 5°C lows in July, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1617 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
August
1617 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
91,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Palmerston North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Palmerston North hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Palmerston North 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14°
models agree

Palmerston North, New Zealand. Often shortened to Palmy. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Palmerston North right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Palmerston North's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Palmerston North weather by month

what to expect in Palmerston North through the year

Here is Palmerston North's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Palmerston North by season.

Jan
22°
14°
Warm
Feb
21°
13°
Mild
Mar
19°
10°
Mild
Apr
18°
10°
Mild
May
15°
Mild
Jun
13°
Cool
Jul
12°
Cool
Aug
12°
Cool
Wettest
Sep
14°
Cool
Oct
16°
Mild
Nov
17°
10°
Mild
Dec
20°
13°
Mild

What Palmerston North's weather is like through the year

Palmerston North runs from warm summers, with January highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 5°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). August is usually the wettest month, and Palmerston North sees roughly 1617 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Palmerston North

The most comfortable time to visit Palmerston North is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Palmerston North?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C94±3.0 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
74
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.4 km/t4268% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C84±8.0 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Palmerston North, scoring 78/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 74. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±30%45% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±24%70% to 94% chance
Monmodels agree13° to 14°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°±41%53% to 94% chance
Wed±1°11° to 11°±23%65% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palmerston North

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palmerston North today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Palmerston North today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palmerston North today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Palmerston North and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palmerston North?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Palmerston North (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the European at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palmerston North?
January is typically the warmest month in Palmerston North, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Palmerston North get?
The coldest month in Palmerston North is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Palmerston North get?
Palmerston North sees roughly 1617 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Palmerston North?
The most comfortable time to visit Palmerston North is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Palmerston North?
Rarely - Palmerston North very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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