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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Rangiora weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Rangiora today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 97% chance of rain.

17°
13°
16°
14°
11°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Rangiora weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Rangiora swings 18°C across the year, from 21°C highs in January to 3°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 788 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
21°C average high
Coldest month
July
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
788 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
19,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rangiora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rangiora hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rangiora 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Tue
Showers
14°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Clear
15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
18°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
18°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
±5°

Rangiora, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 788 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Rangiora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Rangiora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
21°
13°
Feb
21°
13°
Mar
19°
10°
Apr
17°
May
14°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
12°
Sep
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
17°
Dec
20°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rangiora?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C90±5.0 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C93±3.6 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C92±4.1 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 14°±22%75% to 97% chance
Mon±3°15° to 18°±17%0% to 17% chance
Tue±5°12° to 17°±8%91% to 99% chance
Wed±2°10° to 12°±15%45% to 60% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rangiora

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
18:22
Daylight
11h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rangiora today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Rangiora today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rangiora today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Rangiora and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rangiora?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rangiora (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rangiora?
January is typically the warmest month in Rangiora, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Rangiora get?
The coldest month in Rangiora is July, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Rangiora get?
Rangiora sees roughly 788 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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