Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io

Albuquerque weekend weather

This weekend in Albuquerque, NM, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 81° across the weekend. Agreement is low - the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range. Rain chance reaches 63% on at least one model.

Tomorrow

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Showers
High 79°·Low 59°·Rain 30%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Drizzle
High 85°·Low 58°·Rain 30%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Light drizzle
High 76°·Low 59°·Rain 63%

The models are 9° apart on this day. That is genuine uncertainty — any app showing you a single confident number is hiding it.

Sun

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Mostly clear
High 79°·Low 58°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Cloudy
High 85°·Low 56°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Mostly clear
High 80°·Low 58°·Rain 2%

The models range from 79° to 85°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°77° to 78°±35%58% to 93% chance
Tomorrow±9°76° to 85°±33%30% to 63% chance
Sun±5°79° to 85°models agree2% to 2% chance
Mon±5°79° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±11°75° to 86°±10%66% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 63%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers - when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

More for Albuquerque