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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Alexandria weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Alexandria today. Tomorrow looks clear around 96°, with a 1% chance of rain.

94°68°
96°71°
97°73°
98°75°
97°74°
96°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Clear
Today 95°·Low 70°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Cloudy
Today 93°·Low 66°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Clear
Today 92°·Low 69°·Rain 0%
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Alexandria weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Alexandria weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Alexandria swings 56°F across the year, from 98°F highs in August to 42°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
98°F average high
Coldest month
January
42°F average low
Wettest month
April
50 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
48,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Alexandria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Alexandria hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Alexandria 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
94° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
96° 71°
models agree
Sun
Clear
97° 73°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
98° 75°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
97° 74°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
96° 74°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
92° 71°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
92° 69°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
91° 69°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
91° 68°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
89° 69°
±9°
Tue
Rain
85° 69°
±5°
Wed
Clear
87° 61°
models agree
Thu
Clear
89° 60°
±8°

Alexandria, Louisiana (LA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Alexandria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Alexandria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
42°
Feb
67°
48°
Mar
72°
53°
Apr
77°
58°
May
85°
67°
Jun
93°
73°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
98°
78°
Sep
90°
71°
Oct
83°
61°
Nov
72°
54°
Dec
64°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Alexandria?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F94±1.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
79
/100rank #2
92±0.8°F95±1.4 mph5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°92° to 95°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°94° to 97°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±3°95° to 98°±8%1% to 9% chance
Mon±3°97° to 100°±11%4% to 15% chance
Tue±2°96° to 98°±43%8% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alexandria

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alexandria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Alexandria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alexandria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Alexandria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alexandria?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Alexandria (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Alexandria?
August is typically the warmest month in Alexandria, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Alexandria get?
The coldest month in Alexandria is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Alexandria get?
Alexandria sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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