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CheckWeather USAlexandria

Alexandria weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
68°
Clear
Feels 70° · Wind 0 mph · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Clear
Feels 69° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 57%
EuropeanECMWF
68°
Clear
Feels 69° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 62%

Latest for Alexandria: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 68° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 69° Clear · European (ECMWF): 68° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Alexandria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Alexandria, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Alexandria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Alexandria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
33°
Feb
52°
34°
Mar
57°
38°
Apr
70°
49°
May
74°
55°
Jun
85°
63°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
86°
67°
Sep
79°
62°
Oct
70°
50°
Nov
58°
41°
Dec
49°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Alexandria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Alexandria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alexandria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Alexandria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alexandria?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Alexandria forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Alexandria?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Alexandria, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Alexandria get?
The coldest month in Alexandria is Jan, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Alexandria get?
Alexandria sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with Dec usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather