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CheckWeather USAmherst

Amherst weather

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Amherst weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Amherst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Amherst hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Amherst 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Amherst is a small town of about 40,000 people in Massachusetts (MA), sitting at 42.4°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Amherst with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Amherst Center, North Amherst, Northampton.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Amherst?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F96±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F96±1.1 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Amherst today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Amherst today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Amherst today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Amherst and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Amherst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Amherst (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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