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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Bakersfield

Bakersfield weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Clear
Feels 81° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 44%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Clear
Feels 83° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 46%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Clear
Feels 85° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 32%

Latest for Bakersfield: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 80° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 80° Clear · European (ECMWF): 84° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bakersfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Bakersfield, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 109°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bakersfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Bakersfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
59°
42°
Feb
62°
42°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
78°
53°
May
88°
62°
Jun
96°
69°
Jul
109°
78°
Aug
101°
73°
Sep
94°
68°
Oct
86°
60°
Nov
68°
46°
Dec
62°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Bakersfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bakersfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bakersfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bakersfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bakersfield?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Bakersfield forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Bakersfield?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Bakersfield, with average highs around 109°F.
How cold does Bakersfield get?
The coldest month in Bakersfield is Jan, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Bakersfield get?
Bakersfield sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with Feb usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

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