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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Bakersfield weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Bakersfield today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 90°, with a 0% chance of rain.

83°60°
90°61°
94°64°
90°67°
93°65°
99°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mostly clear
Today 83°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Clear
Today 82°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Clear
Today 84°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
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Bakersfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bakersfield weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bakersfield swings 67°F across the year, from 109°F highs in July to 42°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 16 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
109°F average high
Coldest month
January
42°F average low
Wettest month
February
16 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, November and December
Residents
374,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bakersfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bakersfield in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Bakersfield, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Bakersfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bakersfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
83° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
90° 61°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
94° 64°
±8°
Mon
Mostly clear
90° 67°
±5°
Tue
Clear
93° 65°
±5°
Wed
Clear
99° 67°
±8°
Thu
Clear
102° 70°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
99° 72°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
94° 68°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
91° 69°
±8°
Mon
Clear
92° 67°
±14°
Tue
Clear
98° 70°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
93° 67°
±13°
Thu
Clear
88° 61°
±20°

Bakersfield, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 109°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bakersfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bakersfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
59°
42°
Feb
62°
42°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
78°
53°
May
88°
62°
Jun
96°
69°
Jul
109°
78°
Aug
101°
73°
Sep
94°
68°
Oct
86°
60°
Nov
68°
46°
Dec
62°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bakersfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F94±1.9 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°82° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°89° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°90° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°88° to 93°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±5°90° to 95°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bakersfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
18:58
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bakersfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bakersfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bakersfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bakersfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bakersfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bakersfield (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bakersfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Bakersfield, with average highs around 109°F.
How cold does Bakersfield get?
The coldest month in Bakersfield is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Bakersfield get?
Bakersfield sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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