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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Baytown weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Baytown today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 91°, with a 2% chance of rain.

91°77°
91°75°
90°76°
91°79°
93°78°
92°78°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Mostly clear
Today 90°·Low 79°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Cloudy
Today 94°·Low 76°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Partly cloudy
Today 90°·Low 76°·Rain 2%
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Baytown weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Baytown weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Baytown swings 46°F across the year, from 94°F highs in August to 48°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 75 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
48°F average low
Wettest month
May
75 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
76,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Baytown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Baytown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Baytown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
91° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
91° 75°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
90° 76°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 79°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
93° 78°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
92° 78°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
90° 77°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
90° 75°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
89° 76°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
89° 75°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 75°
±8°
Tue
Showers
84° 74°
models agree
Wed
Clear
84° 70°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
86° 66°
models agree

Baytown, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 48°F), with roughly 75 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Baytown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Baytown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
48°
Feb
68°
53°
Mar
73°
60°
Apr
76°
63°
May
82°
71°
Jun
89°
76°
Jul
90°
77°
Aug
94°
79°
Sep
89°
74°
Oct
81°
66°
Nov
72°
58°
Dec
66°
52°

Which forecast is most accurate in Baytown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.5 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°90° to 94°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±3°90° to 93°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±1°89° to 90°±18%21% to 39% chance
Mon±5°88° to 93°±22%4% to 26% chance
Tue±5°90° to 95°±59%4% to 63% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Baytown

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Baytown today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Baytown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Baytown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Baytown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Baytown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Baytown (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Baytown?
August is typically the warmest month in Baytown, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Baytown get?
The coldest month in Baytown is January, when overnight lows average about 48°F.
How much rain does Baytown get?
Baytown sees roughly 75 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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