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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 8°F

Bellingham weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Bellingham's high today between 64° and 72°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

67°52°
66°52°
67°51°
66°53°
64°53°
63°53°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Mostly clear
Today 72°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
66°
Cloudy
Today 66°·Low 49°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Cloudy
Today 64°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
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Bellingham weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bellingham weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bellingham swings 41°F across the year, from 75°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
75°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
December
50 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
85,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bellingham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bellingham hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bellingham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
67° 52°
±8°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
66° 52°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
67° 51°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
66° 53°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
64° 53°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
63° 53°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
63° 52°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
62° 52°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
63° 50°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
63° 51°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
64° 52°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
59° 53°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
59° 50°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
58° 49°
models agree

Bellingham, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 75°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bellingham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bellingham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
34°
Feb
45°
34°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
54°
40°
May
64°
48°
Jun
67°
51°
Jul
75°
57°
Aug
74°
57°
Sep
68°
52°
Oct
59°
45°
Nov
49°
38°
Dec
48°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bellingham?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F95±1.5 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
78
/100rank #2
57±4.3°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°64° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±9°62° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°63° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±7°64° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±7°62° to 69°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bellingham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bellingham today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bellingham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bellingham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bellingham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bellingham?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Bellingham (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the European at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bellingham?
July is typically the warmest month in Bellingham, with average highs around 75°F.
How cold does Bellingham get?
The coldest month in Bellingham is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Bellingham get?
Bellingham sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather