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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Berkeley weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 69° in Berkeley today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 69°, with a 0% chance of rain.

69°56°
69°58°
65°57°
66°58°
70°58°
80°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Fog
Today 69°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
68°
Cloudy
Today 68°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
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Berkeley weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Berkeley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Berkeley swings 35°F across the year, from 77°F highs in July to 42°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
77°F average high
Coldest month
February
42°F average low
Wettest month
January
32 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
121,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Berkeley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Berkeley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Berkeley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
69° 56°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
69° 58°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
65° 57°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
66° 58°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 58°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
80° 59°
±12°
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 62°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 60°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
72° 60°
±13°
Sun
Partly cloudy
70° 59°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
71° 58°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
68° 59°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
69° 58°
models agree
Thu
Clear
69° 57°
±7°

Berkeley, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 42°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Berkeley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Berkeley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
44°
Feb
56°
42°
Mar
57°
44°
Apr
64°
45°
May
67°
50°
Jun
72°
52°
Jul
77°
54°
Aug
77°
56°
Sep
75°
55°
Oct
76°
54°
Nov
63°
46°
Dec
58°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Berkeley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
62±3.8°F94±1.9 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
73
/100rank #2
39±6.1°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°68° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°67° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°62° to 70°models agree2% to 2% chance
Mon±6°64° to 70°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±10°66° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Berkeley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Berkeley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Berkeley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Berkeley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Berkeley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Berkeley?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Berkeley (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the European at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Berkeley?
July is typically the warmest month in Berkeley, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Berkeley get?
The coldest month in Berkeley is February, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Berkeley get?
Berkeley sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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