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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Bloomington weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Bloomington today. Tomorrow looks showers around 90°, with a 71% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

88°71°
90°70°
89°71°
74°63°
72°57°
69°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±8°Sundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Showers
Today 87°·Low 71°·Rain 29%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 72°·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
86°
Drizzle
Today 86°·Low 71°·Rain 90%
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Bloomington weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bloomington weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bloomington swings 58°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
March
42 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
84,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bloomington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bloomington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bloomington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
88° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
90° 70°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
89° 71°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
74° 63°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
72° 57°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
69° 56°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
71° 57°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 59°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
73° 56°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
77° 53°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 53°
±6°
Tue
Rain
68° 53°
±9°
Wed
Light drizzle
66° 47°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 46°
±6°

Bloomington, Indiana (IN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bloomington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bloomington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
27°
Feb
52°
32°
Mar
56°
36°
Apr
65°
45°
May
76°
56°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
85°
66°
Aug
84°
65°
Sep
80°
60°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bloomington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°86° to 90°±61%29% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±8°87° to 95°±48%23% to 71% chance
Sun±7°86° to 93°±21%28% to 49% chance
Mon±7°71° to 78°±17%41% to 58% chance
Tue±4°70° to 74°±11%32% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bloomington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:30
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bloomington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bloomington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bloomington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bloomington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bloomington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bloomington (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bloomington?
July is typically the warmest month in Bloomington, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Bloomington get?
The coldest month in Bloomington is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Bloomington get?
Bloomington sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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