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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Brownsville weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Brownsville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 72°, with a 1% chance of rain.

82°71°
72°61°
71°63°
70°60°
64°57°
64°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 71°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 71°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 71°·Rain 57%
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Brownsville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Brownsville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Brownsville swings 54°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 30°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
February
30°F average low
Wettest month
March
53 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
74,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Brownsville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Brownsville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Brownsville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
82° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 61°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
71° 63°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
70° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
64° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
64° 55°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
63° 56°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
64° 55°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
70° 57°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
72° 59°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 60°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 61°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
80° 64°
models agree
Thu
Rain
71° 57°
±8°

Brownsville, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 30°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Brownsville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Brownsville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
31°
Feb
45°
30°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
61°
45°
May
69°
53°
Jun
79°
62°
Jul
84°
69°
Aug
82°
66°
Sep
76°
60°
Oct
68°
50°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
45°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Brownsville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.3 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±1.9 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°81° to 83°±52%5% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±3°70° to 73°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±4°69° to 73°±14%78% to 92% chance
Mon±3°68° to 71°±2%74% to 76% chance
Tue±1°64° to 65°±21%8% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brownsville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brownsville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Brownsville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Brownsville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Brownsville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brownsville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brownsville (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brownsville?
July is typically the warmest month in Brownsville, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Brownsville get?
The coldest month in Brownsville is February, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Brownsville get?
Brownsville sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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