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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Cape Coral weather

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Heavy showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Cape Coral today. Tomorrow looks showers around 87°, with a 100% chance of rain.

88°75°
87°73°
88°73°
86°75°
86°77°
87°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±10°Tuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Heavy showers
Today 88°·Low 76°·Rain 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 75°·Rain 52%
EuropeanECMWF
86°
Thunderstorm
Today 86°·Low 74°·Rain 86%
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Cape Coral weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Cape Coral…

Cape Coral weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cape Coral swings 32°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 58°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 59 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
58°F average low
Wettest month
June
59 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
175,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cape Coral and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cape Coral hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cape Coral 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy showers
88° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
87° 73°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
88° 73°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
86° 75°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
86° 77°
±9°
Wed
Showers
87° 77°
±6°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 76°
±6°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
89° 76°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
88° 75°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 75°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 74°
models agree
Tue
Thunderstorm
87° 75°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
85° 73°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
81° 73°
models agree

Cape Coral, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 58°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cape Coral right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cape Coral climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
73°
58°
Feb
75°
59°
Mar
80°
64°
Apr
83°
66°
May
88°
72°
Jun
88°
75°
Jul
90°
77°
Aug
90°
77°
Sep
89°
75°
Oct
85°
70°
Nov
82°
65°
Dec
75°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cape Coral?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
80±2.0°F94±1.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
61
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F94±2.0 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°86° to 90°±34%52% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±1°86° to 87°±64%36% to 100% chance
Sun±7°85° to 92°±29%69% to 98% chance
Mon±10°82° to 92°±34%63% to 97% chance
Tue±9°82° to 91°±34%61% to 95% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cape Coral

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cape Coral today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Cape Coral today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cape Coral today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Cape Coral and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cape Coral?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cape Coral (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cape Coral?
July is typically the warmest month in Cape Coral, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Cape Coral get?
The coldest month in Cape Coral is January, when overnight lows average about 58°F.
How much rain does Cape Coral get?
Cape Coral sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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