Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USCarrollwood

Carrollwood weather

Loading live data…

Carrollwood weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Carrollwood…

Carrollwood weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Carrollwood swings 38°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 53°F lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
53°F average low
Wettest month
October
54 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
33,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carrollwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Carrollwood hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Carrollwood 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Carrollwood, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carrollwood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carrollwood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
70°
53°
Feb
75°
55°
Mar
80°
61°
Apr
84°
64°
May
90°
70°
Jun
89°
74°
Jul
91°
77°
Aug
91°
77°
Sep
89°
74°
Oct
83°
67°
Nov
79°
62°
Dec
71°
56°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carrollwood?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
57
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F93±2.3 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Carrollwood today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Carrollwood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carrollwood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Carrollwood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carrollwood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carrollwood (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 57. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carrollwood?
July is typically the warmest month in Carrollwood, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Carrollwood get?
The coldest month in Carrollwood is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Carrollwood get?
Carrollwood sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather