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CheckWeather USCincinnati
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Cincinnati weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Cincinnati today. Tomorrow looks showers around 88°, with a 62% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

82°71°
88°66°
88°69°
72°62°
73°59°
69°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±10°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Light rain
Today 82°·Low 71°·Rain 30%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 70°·Rain 30%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Drizzle
Today 81°·Low 71°·Rain 75%
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Cincinnati weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Cincinnati weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cincinnati swings 57°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 29°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
29°F average low
Wettest month
January
42 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
311,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cincinnati and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cincinnati hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cincinnati 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
82° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
88° 66°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
88° 69°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
72° 62°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
73° 59°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
69° 59°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
70° 58°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
70° 58°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
72° 55°
±6°
Sun
Clear
75° 53°
±12°
Mon
Cloudy
76° 55°
±14°
Tue
Showers
69° 54°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
65° 49°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
68° 47°
±8°

Cincinnati, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cincinnati right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cincinnati climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
29°
Feb
53°
32°
Mar
56°
36°
Apr
66°
46°
May
75°
56°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
86°
68°
Aug
85°
66°
Sep
80°
61°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cincinnati?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F96±1.3 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±1.8 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°81° to 82°±45%30% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±10°84° to 94°±38%24% to 62% chance
Sun±5°86° to 91°±31%37% to 68% chance
Mon±6°68° to 74°±9%42% to 51% chance
Tue±4°71° to 75°±8%42% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cincinnati

today, local time
Sunrise
07:22
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cincinnati today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Cincinnati today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cincinnati today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Cincinnati and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cincinnati?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cincinnati (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cincinnati?
July is typically the warmest month in Cincinnati, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Cincinnati get?
The coldest month in Cincinnati is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Cincinnati get?
Cincinnati sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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