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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Clay weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Clay today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 66°, with a 2% chance of rain.

71°57°
66°47°
63°53°
63°48°
64°48°
63°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Light drizzle
Today 71°·Low 55°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Fog
Today 73°·Low 59°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 56°·Rain 20%
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Clay weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Clay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Clay swings 60°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 23°F lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
23°F average low
Wettest month
June
54 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, August, September and October
Residents
58,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Clay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Clay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Clay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
71° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
66° 47°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
63° 53°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
63° 48°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
64° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 49°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
64° 48°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
67° 49°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
69° 48°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
68° 51°
±15°
Mon
Light drizzle
71° 52°
±9°
Tue
Light rain
73° 52°
±10°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
68° 54°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
62° 52°
±10°

Clay, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 23°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Clay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Clay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
26°
Feb
41°
23°
Mar
45°
28°
Apr
59°
39°
May
70°
49°
Jun
77°
59°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
74°
57°
Oct
62°
47°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
39°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Clay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F92±2.4 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°69° to 73°±11%9% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±2°65° to 67°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±6°60° to 65°±10%90% to 100% chance
Mon±3°62° to 65°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±4°62° to 65°models agree4% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Clay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Clay today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Clay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Clay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Clay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Clay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Clay (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Clay?
July is typically the warmest month in Clay, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Clay get?
The coldest month in Clay is February, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Clay get?
Clay sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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