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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Columbia weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Columbia today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 94°, with a 7% chance of rain.

94°73°
94°75°
88°71°
72°63°
68°60°
73°53°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Light drizzle
Today 95°·Low 73°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Clear
Today 95°·Low 73°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Thunderstorm
Today 92°·Low 73°·Rain 43%
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Columbia weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Columbia…

Columbia weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Columbia swings 63°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 25°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 36 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
August
36 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
129,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Columbia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Columbia hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Columbia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
94° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
94° 75°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
88° 71°
±7°
Mon
Light rain
72° 63°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
68° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 53°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 56°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
70° 60°
±11°
Sat
Cloudy
76° 59°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
80° 59°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 57°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
69° 52°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
73° 49°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
84° 55°
models agree

Columbia, Missouri (MO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Columbia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Columbia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
25°
Feb
53°
31°
Mar
57°
36°
Apr
69°
46°
May
79°
57°
Jun
87°
66°
Jul
88°
68°
Aug
87°
68°
Sep
82°
61°
Oct
71°
51°
Nov
56°
39°
Dec
47°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Columbia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F95±1.7 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°92° to 95°±38%5% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±2°93° to 95°±4%3% to 7% chance
Sun±7°85° to 92°±17%55% to 72% chance
Mon±2°70° to 73°±13%63% to 76% chance
Tuemodels agree67° to 68°±18%11% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Columbia

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Columbia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Columbia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Columbia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Columbia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Columbia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Columbia (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Columbia?
July is typically the warmest month in Columbia, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Columbia get?
The coldest month in Columbia is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Columbia get?
Columbia sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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