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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Danville weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Danville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 82°, with a 1% chance of rain.

80°55°
82°56°
74°56°
76°56°
82°56°
95°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±7°Sundaysplit ±12°Mondaysplit ±10°Tuesdaysplit ±13°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Mostly clear
Today 82°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Mostly clear
Today 81°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
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Danville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Danville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Danville swings 42°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 41°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
41°F average low
Wettest month
January
35 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and September
Residents
44,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Danville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Danville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Danville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
80° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
82° 56°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
74° 56°
±12°
Mon
Cloudy
76° 56°
±10°
Tue
Mostly clear
82° 56°
±13°
Wed
Mostly clear
95° 58°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
92° 64°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 60°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
82° 59°
±19°
Sun
Mostly clear
81° 58°
±14°
Mon
Mostly clear
83° 56°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
80° 57°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
75° 54°
±13°
Thu
Clear
76° 52°
models agree

Danville, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Danville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Danville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
43°
Feb
57°
41°
Mar
58°
43°
Apr
65°
45°
May
68°
50°
Jun
74°
53°
Jul
83°
57°
Aug
81°
57°
Sep
78°
56°
Oct
78°
55°
Nov
64°
45°
Dec
61°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Danville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
30±7.0°F92±2.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°78° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±7°77° to 84°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±12°68° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±10°70° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±13°75° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Danville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Danville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Danville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Danville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Danville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Danville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Danville (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Danville?
July is typically the warmest month in Danville, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Danville get?
The coldest month in Danville is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Danville get?
Danville sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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