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CheckWeather USDecatur
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Decatur weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Decatur today. Tomorrow looks showers around 87°, with a 41% chance of rain.

87°71°
87°72°
83°67°
68°61°
66°57°
69°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaysplit ±9°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
86°
Light drizzle
Today 86°·Low 70°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Cloudy
Today 86°·Low 72°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Cloudy
Today 88°·Low 71°·Rain 96%
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Decatur weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Decatur…

Decatur weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Decatur swings 59°F across the year, from 84°F highs in June to 25°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
April
37 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
73,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Decatur and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Decatur hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Decatur 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
87° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
87° 72°
±6°
Sun
Showers
83° 67°
±9°
Mon
Rain
68° 61°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
66° 57°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 55°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
71° 56°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
72° 57°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
73° 58°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 55°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 54°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
65° 52°
±15°
Wed
Cloudy
66° 48°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 49°
±5°

Decatur, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Decatur right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Decatur climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
25°
Feb
50°
30°
Mar
54°
35°
Apr
65°
45°
May
76°
56°
Jun
84°
65°
Jul
84°
67°
Aug
83°
66°
Sep
78°
61°
Oct
67°
50°
Nov
54°
39°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Decatur?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F95±1.5 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°86° to 88°±87%9% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±6°84° to 90°±7%34% to 41% chance
Sun±9°80° to 88°±20%39% to 59% chance
Mon±3°66° to 68°±3%64% to 67% chance
Tue±5°62° to 67°±16%21% to 37% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Decatur

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Decatur today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Decatur today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Decatur today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Decatur and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Decatur?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Decatur (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Decatur?
June is typically the warmest month in Decatur, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Decatur get?
The coldest month in Decatur is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Decatur get?
Decatur sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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