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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Dothan weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Dothan today. Tomorrow looks showers around 95°, with a 71% chance of rain.

92°67°
95°73°
91°72°
91°72°
91°71°
90°71°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Clear
Today 93°·Low 68°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Clear
Today 93°·Low 66°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Clear
Today 90°·Low 67°·Rain 0%
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Dothan weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Dothan weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dothan swings 52°F across the year, from 95°F highs in August to 43°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
95°F average high
Coldest month
January
43°F average low
Wettest month
September
54 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and October
Residents
69,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dothan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dothan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dothan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
92° 67°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
95° 73°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 72°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
91° 72°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
91° 71°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
90° 71°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
86° 72°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
87° 71°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
86° 68°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 67°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 66°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
87° 69°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
87° 66°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
83° 66°
models agree

Dothan, Alabama (AL) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dothan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dothan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
43°
Feb
68°
48°
Mar
72°
53°
Apr
79°
58°
May
85°
66°
Jun
90°
71°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
95°
76°
Sep
86°
70°
Oct
78°
59°
Nov
70°
53°
Dec
62°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dothan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F95±1.4 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
54
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F92±2.4 mph039% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°90° to 93°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±3°94° to 97°±48%23% to 71% chance
Sun±6°88° to 94°±9%58% to 67% chance
Mon±4°89° to 93°±19%26% to 45% chance
Tue±4°89° to 93°±9%30% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dothan

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
18:43
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dothan today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dothan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dothan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dothan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dothan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dothan (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the American at 54. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dothan?
August is typically the warmest month in Dothan, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Dothan get?
The coldest month in Dothan is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Dothan get?
Dothan sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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