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CheckWeather USDowntown DC
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Downtown DC weather

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Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Downtown DC today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 80°, with a 5% chance of rain.

85°73°
80°64°
86°69°
73°64°
66°61°
63°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Partly cloudy
Today 84°·Low 73°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Cloudy
Today 86°·Low 72°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Light drizzle
Today 85°·Low 73°·Rain 94%
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Downtown DC weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Downtown DC and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Downtown DC hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Downtown DC 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
85° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 64°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
86° 69°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 64°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
66° 61°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
63° 59°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
65° 59°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 57°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
73° 56°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 56°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 58°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
79° 61°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
75° 64°
±7°
Thu
Clear
73° 56°
±6°

Downtown DC is a town of about 53,000 people in District of Columbia (DC), sitting at 38.9°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Downtown DC with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Mount Vernon Triangle, Northwest One, Washington.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown DC?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.8 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
59
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F95±1.5 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°84° to 86°±83%11% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±3°79° to 81°±3%2% to 5% chance
Sun±6°83° to 89°±21%48% to 69% chance
Mon±3°72° to 75°±18%48% to 66% chance
Tue±2°65° to 67°±14%37% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Downtown DC

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown DC today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Downtown DC today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Downtown DC today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Downtown DC and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown DC?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown DC (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More US weather