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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Dublin weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Dublin today. Tomorrow looks rain around 80°, with a 68% chance of rain.

77°65°
80°60°
78°66°
66°59°
66°58°
66°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Rain
Today 77°·Low 65°·Rain 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 66°·Rain 51%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Showers
Today 78°·Low 65°·Rain 98%
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Dublin weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Dublin weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dublin swings 56°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
April
43 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
45,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dublin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dublin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dublin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
77° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
80° 60°
models agree
Sun
Thunderstorm
78° 66°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
66° 59°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
66° 58°
±7°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
66° 59°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
66° 56°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
69° 56°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
70° 52°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
73° 52°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
74° 54°
±11°
Tue
Showers
70° 50°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
62° 48°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
66° 47°
±4°

Dublin, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dublin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dublin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
49°
29°
Mar
52°
33°
Apr
64°
44°
May
73°
53°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
66°
48°
Nov
53°
38°
Dec
44°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dublin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F94±1.9 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°76° to 78°±47%51% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±2°79° to 81°±39%29% to 68% chance
Sun±5°75° to 81°±33%55% to 88% chance
Mon±5°64° to 69°±13%39% to 52% chance
Tue±7°62° to 69°±20%29% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dublin

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dublin today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dublin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dublin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dublin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dublin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dublin (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dublin?
July is typically the warmest month in Dublin, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Dublin get?
The coldest month in Dublin is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Dublin get?
Dublin sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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