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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Elmhurst weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Elmhurst today. Tomorrow looks rain around 75°, with a 98% chance of rain.

71°64°
75°64°
70°63°
63°58°
62°56°
62°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Light rain
Today 71°·Low 65°·Rain 28%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 64°·Rain 28%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Drizzle
Today 71°·Low 64°·Rain 61%
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Elmhurst weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Elmhurst weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Elmhurst swings 61°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 21°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
July
43 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
46,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elmhurst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elmhurst hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elmhurst 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
71° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
75° 64°
models agree
Sun
Rain
70° 63°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
63° 58°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
62° 56°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
62° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
64° 57°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
68° 58°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
71° 57°
±11°
Sun
Cloudy
72° 56°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 54°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
58° 52°
±15°
Wed
Light drizzle
60° 48°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 49°
±8°

Elmhurst, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elmhurst right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elmhurst climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
21°
Feb
44°
26°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
60°
40°
May
72°
49°
Jun
81°
60°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elmhurst?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F91±2.7 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°70° to 71°±33%28% to 61% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°±36%62% to 98% chance
Sun±1°70° to 70°±17%80% to 97% chance
Mon±1°63° to 64°±5%34% to 39% chance
Tue±5°61° to 66°±13%20% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elmhurst

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
18:55
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elmhurst today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elmhurst today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elmhurst today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elmhurst and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elmhurst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elmhurst (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elmhurst?
July is typically the warmest month in Elmhurst, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Elmhurst get?
The coldest month in Elmhurst is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Elmhurst get?
Elmhurst sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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