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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Encinitas weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Encinitas today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 75°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°66°
75°63°
77°62°
76°66°
76°64°
78°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 65°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 66°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 68°·Rain 2%
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Encinitas weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Encinitas weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Encinitas swings 29°F across the year, from 76°F highs in August to 47°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 21 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
76°F average high
Coldest month
January
47°F average low
Wettest month
February
21 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
63,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Encinitas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Encinitas hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Encinitas 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
75° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
75° 63°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
77° 62°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
76° 66°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
76° 64°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
78° 66°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 66°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
79° 68°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
81° 68°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
84° 71°
±14°
Mon
Cloudy
84° 73°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
87° 73°
±5°
Wed
Clear
78° 68°
models agree
Thu
Clear
75° 67°
±5°

Encinitas, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 76°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Encinitas right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Encinitas climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
47°
Feb
60°
47°
Mar
61°
50°
Apr
63°
51°
May
65°
57°
Jun
69°
60°
Jul
75°
64°
Aug
76°
65°
Sep
75°
64°
Oct
73°
58°
Nov
69°
51°
Dec
65°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in Encinitas?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
92
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F98±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°75° to 76°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±5°74° to 79°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±4°73° to 77°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±4°74° to 78°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Encinitas

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:51
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Encinitas today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Encinitas today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Encinitas today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Encinitas and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Encinitas?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Encinitas (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the European at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Encinitas?
August is typically the warmest month in Encinitas, with average highs around 76°F.
How cold does Encinitas get?
The coldest month in Encinitas is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Encinitas get?
Encinitas sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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