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CheckWeather USFlower Mound
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Flower Mound weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Flower Mound today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 97°, with a 0% chance of rain.

97°78°
97°78°
98°79°
95°77°
91°75°
93°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Mostly clear
Today 98°·Low 79°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Cloudy
Today 96°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Partly cloudy
Today 97°·Low 79°·Rain 0%
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Flower Mound weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Flower Mound weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Flower Mound swings 62°F across the year, from 100°F highs in August to 38°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
100°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
May
50 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
71,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Flower Mound and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Flower Mound hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Flower Mound 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
97° 78°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
98° 79°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 77°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
91° 75°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
93° 74°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
93° 76°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
92° 76°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
91° 75°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 75°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
91° 74°
±16°
Tue
Clear
86° 66°
±13°
Wed
Partly cloudy
88° 67°
±7°
Thu
Clear
88° 69°
±6°

Flower Mound, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Flower Mound right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Flower Mound climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
38°
Feb
63°
44°
Mar
69°
51°
Apr
75°
57°
May
83°
67°
Jun
91°
74°
Jul
95°
77°
Aug
100°
80°
Sep
90°
72°
Oct
82°
63°
Nov
67°
51°
Dec
61°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Flower Mound?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F89±3.5 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°97° to 99°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±4°96° to 100°±12%37% to 49% chance
Mon±4°94° to 98°±6%31% to 37% chance
Tue±9°87° to 96°±4%7% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Flower Mound

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Flower Mound today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Flower Mound today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Flower Mound today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Flower Mound and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Flower Mound?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Flower Mound (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Flower Mound?
August is typically the warmest month in Flower Mound, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Flower Mound get?
The coldest month in Flower Mound is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Flower Mound get?
Flower Mound sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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