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CheckWeather USGreat Falls

Great Falls weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Mainly clear
Feels 76° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Overcast
Feels 77° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 48%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Feels 77° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 36%

Latest for Great Falls: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 78° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 78° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 79° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Great Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Great Falls is a town of about 60,000 people in MT, sitting at 47.5°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Great Falls with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Helena Valley Southeast, Helena Valley West Central, Helena.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Great Falls today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Great Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Great Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Great Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Great Falls?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Great Falls forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather