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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Greenville weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Greenville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 84°, with a 20% chance of rain.

92°70°
84°72°
85°69°
89°71°
81°70°
75°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Light drizzle
Today 93°·Low 71°·Rain 21%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Cloudy
Today 94°·Low 72°·Rain 21%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Drizzle
Today 91°·Low 68°·Rain 80%
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Greenville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Greenville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Greenville swings 51°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 38°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
August
50 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
91,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Greenville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Greenville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Greenville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
92° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
84° 72°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 69°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
89° 71°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
81° 70°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 68°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
76° 66°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
76° 62°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
74° 60°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
76° 58°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
80° 64°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
84° 66°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
77° 64°
±7°

Greenville, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Greenville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Greenville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
38°
Feb
60°
42°
Mar
65°
45°
Apr
73°
53°
May
78°
60°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
89°
72°
Aug
88°
70°
Sep
82°
65°
Oct
74°
54°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
57°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in Greenville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.1 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F95±1.7 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°91° to 94°±59%21% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±6°81° to 87°±3%17% to 20% chance
Sun±8°81° to 88°±5%7% to 12% chance
Mon±4°87° to 91°±19%59% to 78% chance
Tue±10°76° to 86°±2%63% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Greenville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Greenville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Greenville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Greenville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Greenville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Greenville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Greenville (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Greenville?
July is typically the warmest month in Greenville, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Greenville get?
The coldest month in Greenville is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Greenville get?
Greenville sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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