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CheckWeather USHonolulu
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Honolulu (Oahu) weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Honolulu's high today between 81° and 85°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 82°, with a 47% chance of rain.

83°79°
82°78°
82°78°
82°77°
83°78°
82°78°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Light drizzle
Today 85°·Low 78°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 79°·Rain 37%
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Honolulu weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Honolulu weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Honolulu swings 18°F across the year, from 85°F highs in August to 67°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
67°F average low
Wettest month
May
22 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and March
Residents
351,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Honolulu and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Honolulu in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Honolulu, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Honolulu hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Honolulu 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
83° 79°
±5°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
82° 78°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 78°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 77°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
83° 78°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
82° 78°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
81° 77°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
82° 78°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 77°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
81° 77°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
81° 77°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 76°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
81° 75°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
81° 76°
±5°

Honolulu, Hawaii (HI) (often shortened to Oahu) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 67°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Honolulu right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Honolulu climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
78°
67°
Feb
77°
68°
Mar
78°
68°
Apr
79°
69°
May
80°
70°
Jun
82°
72°
Jul
84°
73°
Aug
85°
74°
Sep
85°
74°
Oct
85°
72°
Nov
81°
71°
Dec
80°
68°

Which forecast is most accurate in Honolulu?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
75
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F89±3.4 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
67
/100rank #2
51±4.9°F80±6.3 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°81° to 85°±27%10% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±4°80° to 84°±41%6% to 47% chance
Sun±4°80° to 84°±10%2% to 12% chance
Mon±5°80° to 85°models agree16% to 16% chance
Tue±5°81° to 85°±7%27% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Honolulu

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
18:31
Daylight
12h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Honolulu today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Honolulu today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Honolulu today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Honolulu and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Honolulu?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Honolulu (CheckWeather Score 75/100), ahead of the European at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Honolulu?
August is typically the warmest month in Honolulu, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Honolulu get?
The coldest month in Honolulu is January, when overnight lows average about 67°F.
How much rain does Honolulu get?
Honolulu sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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