Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USLawrence
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Lawrence weather

Loading live data…

Drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Lawrence today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 66°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°59°
66°49°
61°48°
67°52°
60°49°
61°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Drizzle
Today 77°·Low 58°·Rain 34%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Light rain
Today 78°·Low 58°·Rain 34%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Light drizzle
Today 77°·Low 60°·Rain 90%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Lawrence weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lawrence…

Lawrence weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lawrence swings 59°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
March
51 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
80,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lawrence and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Lawrence hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Lawrence 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
77° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
66° 49°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
61° 48°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
67° 52°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
60° 49°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
61° 50°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
60° 48°
±7°
Fri
Rain
60° 49°
±9°
Sat
Drizzle
63° 51°
±9°
Sun
Partly cloudy
66° 50°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 53°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
68° 54°
±12°
Wed
Rain
68° 57°
±12°
Thu
Drizzle
69° 53°
models agree

Lawrence, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lawrence right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lawrence climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
26°
Feb
42°
24°
Mar
47°
31°
Apr
58°
39°
May
68°
48°
Jun
76°
58°
Jul
83°
67°
Aug
78°
62°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
50°
35°
Dec
42°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lawrence?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.5 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°77° to 78°±56%34% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°65° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°60° to 61°±18%82% to 100% chance
Mon±2°65° to 68°±7%74% to 81% chance
Tue±3°59° to 62°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lawrence

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lawrence today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lawrence today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lawrence today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lawrence and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lawrence?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lawrence (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lawrence?
July is typically the warmest month in Lawrence, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Lawrence get?
The coldest month in Lawrence is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Lawrence get?
Lawrence sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather